Solar vs Generator for Lagos — Which One Cheap Pass
Running cost from live petrol price · payback maths · 8 hours blackout per day assumption
The correct comparison between solar and gen no be about which one clean pass or modern pass. Na arithmetic wey get three input: wetin you pay upfront, wetin you dey pay per unit of light after, and how long you plan stay for where you dey. If petrol price change, the answer go change with am — na exactly wetin happen for Lagos this July.
NNPC raise Lagos pump price reach around ₦1,300 on 21 July, up ₦182 from ₦1,118, after Dangote briefly stop naira petrol sale between 15 and 22 July and loading suspend for six days. Independent marketer quote reach ₦1,350–₦1,400. Every naira wey enter pump price dey shorten solar payback — and fuel still dey shake, so treat any payback number here as estimate wey tie to today price.
Fuel alone, for 8 hours per day, at ₦1,255 per litre (NNPC Lagos, 2026-08-10). E no add oil, servicing or the gen replacement.
| Gen size | Per day | Per month | Per year |
|---|---|---|---|
| “I better pass my neighbour” (0.9kVA) ~0.5 L/hr | ₦5.0K | ₦150.6K | ₦1.8M |
| 2.5kVA petrol ~1.2 L/hr | ₦12.0K | ₦361.4K | ₦4.4M |
| 5kVA petrol ~2 L/hr | ₦20.1K | ₦602.4K | ₦7.3M |
| Tier | Installed | Save/month | Payback |
|---|---|---|---|
| Basic | ₦350.0K–₦1.8M | ₦15.0K | 30mo |
| Standard | ₦1.2M–₦2.0M | ₦45.0K | 36mo |
| Premium | ₦2.5M–₦4.5M | ₦80.0K | 42mo |
| Off-grid | ₦5.0M–₦12.0M | ₦150.0K | 48mo |
The savings and payback for this table na from the package data (verify 2026-06-17), and dem dey assume say solar go replace most of the gen running cost above. If your blackout less pass 8 hours per day, your savings go small and payback go long.
Gen cheap to buy, but e expensive to feed
The whole reason people dey buy gen na the upfront number. Small petrol gen na small money compared to even the entry solar tier, na why na am most Lagos house dey run to first. The cost dey come later and e no dey stop — fuel, oil, servicing and eventual replacement. Petrol gen wey you dey run everyday na three-to-five year machine, no be fifteen-year one.
Na fuel be the biggest and the most shaky part. Small gen dey chop like one litre per hour for moderate load, so the daily cost na just pump price times the hours wey light no dey. That mean gen running cost dey depend directly on number wey nobody control, and e move sharp sharp for July 2026.
Solar dey turn the cost upside down
Solar dey put almost everything for front. You pay for panel, inverter, battery and labour once, and the cost of the next kilowatt-hour na almost zero for the whole life of the equipment. No fuel queue, no jerrycan, no servicing time, and no exposure to pump price at all.
The wahala be say that upfront money na real money and the payback na years, no be months. Na why the comparison only sweet if you dey stay: tenant wey get one-year lease dey buy asset wey e fit need carry commot or leave, but landlord wey dey live for im house dey kill bill wey e for pay forever. Battery na still the part wey go first need replacement, so any honest lifetime comparison suppose budget for one replacement inside the 25 years of the panel.
Fuel, oil, servicing and how long gen dey really last for Lagos.
Payback only make sense once you sabi the system wey your house need.